OAKLAND — Democratic allies of California Gov. Gavin Newsom continued to express confidence Saturday in his chances of beating back a recall but warned his supporters not to let up on urging people to vote as they seek a decisive win, while Republicans said the contest is far from settled.
“We don’t need to just win by a little, we need to win by a lot. We need to send a message: Hands off our democracy, hands off our California,” said April Verrett, president of the SEIU Local 2015, as she rallied union members who have been among Newsom’s biggest supporters.
Newsom joined the Oakland rally as his Republican rivals made their cases up and down the state and both major parties sent volunteers out to knock on doors and urge their supporters to vote. The race concludes on Tuesday, and more than a third of voters have already mailed in their ballot or voted early in person. Former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, one of the GOP candidates, voted Saturday morning in his home city.
A recent poll from the Public Policy Institute of California shows Newsom likely to survive, and Democrats are making a stronger showing in early voting. But the GOP is expecting a larger turnout on Election Day, given many Republicans are skeptical of voting by mail.
“Anyone who is counting the recall out at this point is not really in touch with what’s actually going on with this movement,” said Republican Assemblyman Kevin Kiley, who is running to unseat Newsom and is favored by some of the recall’s original supporters.
The ballot includes two questions: Should Newsom be recalled from office and, if so, who should replace him? If a majority of voters want him gone, he’d be replaced by whoever gets the most votes among the 46 candidates on the replacement ballot.
Beyond campaigning, several candidates marked the 20th anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Larry Elder, who is considered the Republican frontrunner, attended 9/11 commemorations and a lunch with homeless and disabled veterans, and John Cox and Kiley also attended anniversary events. Before his campaign stop, Newsom visited the Wall of Heroes memorial at the California National Guard’s headquarters.
More than 7.7 million people have already voted, according to ballot tracking data compiled by Political Data Inc., a data firm that works with Democrats.
Newsom called the numbers encouraging and attributed it to more Democrats becoming aware of the recall as it winds to a close. Still, he said he’s taking nothing for granted. He’ll spend the next few days campaigning in Southern California, and on Monday he’ll be joined by Democratic President Joe Biden.
He stuck to his closing message that the race could have profound consequences beyond California, calling it a contest of “outsize consequences.” He and other Democrats have likened it to former President Donald Trump’s refusal to accept the results of the 2020 presidential election and have charged Republicans with pursuing a recall because they can’t win a normal election. Californians haven’t elected a Republican statewide since 2006.
“The recall is about catching you while you’re sleeping,” he said. “This recall is about getting us in an off year, in an off month, while no one else is paying attention.”